Pollster Doug Schoen Says The Democrats’ Midterm Optimism May Be ‘Misguided’


For those who observe political information, you will have in all probability seen articles claiming that the midterms are wanting good for Democrats.

The liberal media is making an attempt to create a story within the hopes that it’ll affect the elections.

Pollster Doug Schoen, who’s a Democrat himself, is warning his celebration to mood their expectations.

He writes at The Hill:

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Why Democrats’ midterm optimism might be misguided

As Democrats voice rising confidence about their midterm election prospects, two traits counsel that the celebration’s newfound sense of optimism could also be misguided.

Taken collectively, unrelenting inflation and the potential for a 2020-like polling error that overestimates Democrats’ power might point out that the Democratic Get together is in a extra fragile place than most within the media are at present acknowledging or appreciating. Earlier within the yr, a red-wave midterm election — on par with 1994, when Republicans gained 54 U.S. Home seats and flipped management of each homes of Congress — appeared virtually inevitable.

However since mid-June, Democrats’ place has been strengthened by declining fuel costs, the nationwide backlash to Roe v. Wade being overturned and GOP candidate-quality points in key Senate races. As issues stand, Democrats are actually favored to retain management of the Senate and are anticipated to only narrowly lose the Home.

Nonetheless, the discharge of the worse-than-expected August inflation report this week — which confirmed that meals, housing and healthcare prices continued to soar final month — served as a pointed reminder that the economic system nonetheless poses a big risk to Democrats’ probabilities in November.

The economic system and crime are nonetheless the highest midterm points for doubtless voters. That’s dangerous information for Democrats and nice information for Republicans.

Nobody can predict the long run, however Republicans have historical past on their facet.

Cross posted from American Lookout.

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