Placing the Warfare in Ukraine in Context

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Western media, pundits and politicians grudgingly are coming to grips that Russia is profitable the bottom in Ukraine and defeating the Ukrainian Military. Nonetheless, they’re bending over backwards to perpetuate the phantasm that Ukraine nonetheless has a combating probability if solely they get a brilliant sport altering weapon. Let me take you on a tour of consultant media accounts of the battle so that you could savor the flavour of protection. First up, CNN:

The US Protection Division maintained throughout a press briefing Friday that Russia is constant to make “incremental positive factors” in Donbas.

Russian forces are intensifying their bombardment of areas in jap Ukraine nonetheless below Ukrainian management. Ukrainian officers within the east admit their defenses are outmanned and outgunned.

MSNBC is ignoring Ukraine utterly. It does provide a bit titled, Ukraine: Freedom or Demise, however it’s populated with movies made greater than a month in the past.

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FOX NEWS echoes the CNN meme of “incremental progress”:

Russia-backed separatists claimed they captured a railway hub metropolis in jap Ukraine as Moscow’s forces strived to realize extra floor Friday by pounding one other Ukrainian-held space the place authorities say 1,500 folks have died because the begin of the warfare.

With Russia’s offensive in Ukraine’s industrial Donbas area exhibiting incremental progress, Ukrainian officers characterised the battle there in grave phrases and renewed their appeals for extra subtle Western-supplied weaponry.

Ukraine’s overseas minister pleaded for “weapons, weapons and weapons once more,” warning that and not using a new injection of overseas arms, Ukrainian forces wouldn’t be capable of cease Russia’s advance on the east.

The Washington Put up is concentrated on a CNN report that Biden goes to ship lengthy vary missiles to Ukraine:

The Biden administration is getting ready to ship superior long-range rocket techniques to Ukraine because the nation suffers losses within the east from advancing Russian forces, mentioned U.S. administration officers and congressional staffers. . . .

The rocket system has been a prime request from Ukrainian officers who say it’s essential to curb the advance of Russian forces, which claimed full management of the strategic jap metropolis of Lyman on Friday, handing Moscow one other victory in its offensive in Ukraine’s jap Donbas area. CNN first reported on U.S. preparations to ship the system.

The New York Occasions is main the refrain in claiming that Russia has been overwhelmed again and has to go for sloppy seconds within the Donbas:

After failing to topple Ukraine’s authorities in Kyiv, Russia redeployed troops for a far much less formidable aim: Seize the remainder of the Donbas, past the realm the place Russia had already superior a month in the past.

Russia’s navy has overwhelming superiority in weapons, if not males — tanks, warplanes, helicopters and heavy artillery. However a month into the battle for the East, Russia has made solely gradual progress alongside the Japanese entrance.

Many times, Russia’s navy has needed to settle for the troublesome actuality that it doesn’t have the pressure essential to combat in too many locations directly.

The realm with essentially the most essential battles is just 75 miles huge and contains three key cities: Sloviansk, Kramatorsk and Sievierodonetsk.

Russia is combating throughout a broad entrance and is taking over Urkrainian troops crouching in closely fortified trenches and bunkers. Because the begin of the “Particular Navy Operation” aka invasion on February 24th, Russia has taken a lot of the southern coast of Ukraine. The battle for Mariupol stands as essentially the most consequential city battle of the 21st century. On the identical time, Russia and the militias of the Republics of Donetsk and Luhnask are nearing the whole defeat of Ukrainian forces primarily based within the Donbas.

Apart from Mariupol, Russia has taken management of main cities within the Donbas and adjoining areas, corresponding to Vasilevka within the Zaporozhye area, Kherson, Lyman, Popasna. Russia now has surrounded Sievierodonetsk and trapped a number of thousand Ukrainian troops. My level? Russia has completed this towards properly armed, NATO educated forces combating from defensive positions. The Ukrainians had artillery and a few drones/missiles. Russia has achieved all of this in lower than two months.

So here’s a comparability. Look what the US did in Vietnam and Iraq combating towards forces that weren’t as properly educated or well-armed because the Ukrainians:

The Battle of Huế–7 battalions of the U.S. Military and Marine Corps, accompanied by 11 South Vietnamese battalions, fought for greater than a month to recapture Huế, the traditional imperial capital metropolis of Vietnam, following the Viet Cong Tet Offensive in January 1968.

The Second Battle of Fallujah–Twelve thousand 5 hundred Marines plus 850 British troops fought for greater than a month (November 7 to December 23, 2004) to seize and safe Fallujah, Iraq from Iraqi Islamic insurgents.

The Viet Cong and the Iraqi Insurgents didn’t have javelins, Stingers, artillery, drones and closely fortified positions (i.e., bolstered concrete constructed up during the last eight years) like Ukrainian troops. This isn’t Russian cheerleading to acknowledge that Russian troops, with the help of the LPR and DPR militias, have made exceptional and substantive progress on the bottom and that Ukraine has misplaced efficient management of the Donbas (to not point out its southern shoreline).





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